From 2020-2024, Democrats Lost About 4.5 Million Voters Across the Nation
The New York Times recently released a bombshell report: of the 30 states that track voter registration based on political party, Democrats lost approximately 4.5 million voters—a catastrophic development that will take the Democrats years of work to recover from.
The worst part of this is that it is happening in key battleground states, such as Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. However, it also impacted the most red and blue states, such as California and Louisiana.
For the first time since 2018, more new voters nationally chose to identify as Republicans rather than Democrats last year. Democrats lost approximately 2.2 million registered voters over the four years, while Republicans gained 2.4 million, resulting in an accumulation of over 4 million new Republican registered voters.
It is worth noting that, nationally, there are still more Democrats registered than Republicans… mainly because of huge blue states like California, which allow people to register by party, while red states like Texas don’t. Regardless, this giant swing really helps us understand Trump’s win last year, where, for the first time, he won the popular vote and swept the swing states by large margins.
This issue is growing so rapidly that in 2018, Democrats made up 34% of new voter registrations nationwide, Republicans only 20%. Fast-forward to 2024, Republicans took over Democrats among new registrants. In 2018, Democrats comprised 88% of new voters under 45 who registered for one of the two major parties. By 2024, the Democrats' support had collapsed to 48%.
In my opinion, there are two main reasons for this significant shift in Democratic establishment support.
The rise of red-pill trad life content that has become more popular amongst young men, fueling the culture shift amongst our society towards the right, and the male loneliness epidemic.
The Democratic establishment’s issue of continuously failing to rise to the occasion of fighting fascism meaningfully, pushing unpopular establishment political figures on voters, and failing to address problems actually bothering voters (also, the fearmongering agenda did not help at all either).
When you look at Zohran Mamdani’s mayoral campaign for New York City, his strategy was simple. He listened to his constituents, realized what the top five issues are, ran on fixing those problems (no matter how socialist the solution seemed), and ran a people-powered campaign.
He met the people where they are at. He ran a people-only funded campaign. He is reachable and relatable, unlike people like Joe Biden or Kamala Harris. He won his primary by a landslide. What did the democratic establishment do? Ridiculed him, joined their Republican peers in spewing Islamophobic hate, refused to endorse him, and left him out to dry.
Regardless of all of that, he still won. Instead of pointing fingers at him and making fun of him, they should learn a lesson or two from his victory.
The Democratic Party is facing a clear and growing crisis, one that won't be solved with empty slogans, elite candidates, or fear-based messaging. The numbers don’t lie: millions of voters are walking away, particularly in key battlegrounds.
If Democrats want to reverse this trend, they need to stop dismissing grassroots candidates, start addressing the actual concerns of everyday people, and rebuild trust from the ground up. Leaders like Zohran Mamdani show that there’s still a path forward, one built on authenticity, accountability, and bold action.
The question is: will the Democratic establishment finally listen before it's too late?
Does any of this voter registration number shift have anything to do with voter roll purges?
And for those of you looking for a major shift to the left to save the party, the reason that Dems used to be able to win “conservative leaning states” (and I live in one), was that Dems used to allow candidates to fit into the state they were running in.
What I mean by this was Dems used to accept people into the party that agreed with 80-90% of the party’s platform but it was ok to be pro 2FA, or to talk about your Christianity as a Democratic candidate. Now these people get purged. In Nebraska one of the former state senators was a former union leader and fireman. He also was pro gun control and agreed with the party on everything but abortion. He was a reliable blue vote on almost all issues but one. The state party censured him and he ended up joining the GOP.
Nebraska used to have Democratic Senators and Governors. Now no statewide office is held by a Democrat. You can be a pro choice Republican or a pro recreational marijuana Republican, but the Dems have alienated a lot of people by expecting everyone to check every box to get national party funding or backing.
In the opposite side the party leadership has failed to back Mamdani in NY because he’s too liberal. This man can absolutely win in NY and I have donated to his campaign.
For Christ’s sake if you want to win voters back you meet them at least halfway. Just look at James Talarico and see how a politician can be a major Christian and still be a progressive.
So full disclosure I was a Republican for over 25 years. I have NEVER voted for Trump and now vote straight blue, but I am not registered as a Democrat, I am registered as an Independent. I’m very socially progressive, pro reproductive rights, pro public schools, but I am also fiscally conservative. I am pro gay marriage and trans rights, but also own an AR15. People are complex and the Dems have to learn that perfection is the enemy of progress and that one size does not fit all for winning votes.
Were they deleted?